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Nigeria's Real Estate Market Projected to Hit $40bn by 2030

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Nigeria's real estate market is projected to grow from $32.2 billion in 2025 to $40 billion by 2030, driven by urbanisation and rising demand for residential, commercial and industrial property.

Nigeria's real estate market is projected to reach $40 billion by 2030, expanding from $32.2 billion in 2025 and $29.2 billion in 2024, according to market analysts. The forecast implies a compound annual growth rate of 4.5 per cent between 2025 and 2030.

Analysts attribute the growth to rapid urbanisation, population growth and rising demand for residential, commercial and industrial properties. Lagos, Abuja and Port Harcourt were identified as key hubs for high-rise residential, office and mixed-use developments, while logistics and warehousing sectors are expanding to support e-commerce and trade activities.

Government initiatives aimed at affordable housing, infrastructure development and foreign investment are also stimulating market growth. In the office segment, co-working and flexible spaces are driving the largest share of growth, while premium Grade A offices in commercial hubs such as Lagos and Abuja command top-tier rents of between $550 and $750 per square metre annually.

Analysts acknowledged persistent challenges including regulatory complexities, economic volatility and limited financing options, but said Nigeria's long-term real estate outlook remains positive, supported by demographic growth, urban expansion and increasing investor interest in the sector.

The outlook also highlights the evolution of Abuja's office market into integrated business districts. Ahmed Karim, Vice President of World Trade Centre Abuja, said companies increasingly seek environments that combine completed Grade A office space with residences, meeting facilities and an established business community, rather than standalone office buildings.

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